Norway · 1. Division Women · Matchweek 1511:00
TIL 2020 WWDWLW

2 – 1

Sunday, 23 August 2026

· Analysis updated 12:01 UTC

TIL 2020 W vs Fyllingsdalen W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.86 expected goals for TIL 2020 W and 0.75 for Fyllingsdalen W, a combined total of 4.62. That distribution gives TIL 2020 W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 90%, with the draw at 7%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 90% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

TIL 2020 W win

89.7% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

3.86 – 0.75

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • TIL 2020 W home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Fyllingsdalen W away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates TIL 2020 W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 90%, against 90% / 7% / 3% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 3.86 goals for TIL 2020 W and 0.75 for Fyllingsdalen W, a combined 4.62 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

TIL 2020 W win90%
Draw7%
Fyllingsdalen W win3%

Double chance 1X

97%

Double chance 12

93%

Double chance X2

10%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals66%
Both teams to score51%

Correct score

  • 3–09.5%
  • 4–09.2%
  • 2–07.4%
  • 3–17.2%
  • 5–07.1%

Recent form

TIL 2020 W

  • 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Frigg Oslo FK W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Odd W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Start W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Arna-Bjørnar W · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Grei W · 2-3 (L)

Fyllingsdalen W

  • 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Start W · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kolbotn W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Frigg Oslo FK W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Grei W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Viking FK W · 0-6 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Division Women table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Start W8620920
2Viking FK W86111819
3Åsane W85301118
4TIL 2020 W85211417
5Arna-Bjørnar W8422414
6Bryne W8323-211
7Odd W8233-19
8Kolbotn W8224-18
9Grei W8215-27
10Klepp W8206-156
11Frigg Oslo FK W8107-173
12Fyllingsdalen W8107-183

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is TIL 2020 W win, at 89.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.

A 90% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.