· Analysis updated 16:33 UTC
Timişul Şag vs CIL Blaj Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for Timişul Şag and 1.48 for CIL Blaj, a combined total of 2.83. That distribution gives CIL Blaj the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
65.4% probability
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.48
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Timişul Şag home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
CIL Blaj away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates CIL Blaj to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 35% / 25% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.35 goals for Timişul Şag and 1.48 for CIL Blaj, a combined 2.83 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
65%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.8%
- 0–18.7%
- 1–28.7%
- 1–08.0%
- 2–18.0%
Recent form
Timişul Şag
- 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Unirea Alba Iulia · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Progresul Pecica · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Metalurgistul Cugir · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Cetate Deva · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii · 2-0 (W)
CIL Blaj
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Cetate Deva · 5-5 (D)
- 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Poli Timisoara 2 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Viitorul Arad · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Nera Bogodinţi · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Unirea Alba Iulia · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga III - Serie 7 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Unirea Alba Iulia | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 23 |
| 2 | Timişul Şag | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Cetate Deva | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 |
| 5 | CIL Blaj | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Viitorul Arad | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Unirea Sântana | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 16 |
| 8 | Metalurgistul Cugir | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | Progresul Pecica | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 10 | Poli Timisoara 2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 7 |
| 11 | Universitatea Alba Iulia | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -12 | 4 |
| 12 | Nera Bogodinţi | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -22 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 65.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.