· Analysis updated 00:42 UTC
Tira vs Maccabi Ma'alot Tarshiha Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.62 expected goals for Tira and 1.17 for Maccabi Ma'alot Tarshiha, a combined total of 2.79. That distribution gives Tira the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Tira win
47.9% probability
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.17
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Tira to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 25% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.62 goals for Tira and 1.17 for Maccabi Ma'alot Tarshiha, a combined 2.79 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 53% and both teams to score at 55%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Model confidence
The headline pick is rated 48% with low confidence, from a data-quality score of 38/100 while season data is still limited.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.6%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.1%
- 0–17.2%
Recent form
Tira
- 2026-09-18T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-10T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed · 1-0 (W)
Maccabi Ma'alot Tarshiha
- 2026-10-12T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Tira · 2-3 (L)
- 2019-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Bnei Bir al-Maksur · 0-1 (L)
- 2018-10-02T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Robi Shapira · 0-2 (L)
- 2018-09-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Beitar Nahariya · 4-0 (W)
- 2018-09-14T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Ihud Bnei Mejdel Krum · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Tira win, at 47.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.