· Analysis updated 16:09 UTC
Tiszafuredi VSE vs DEAC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.84 expected goals for Tiszafuredi VSE and 2.17 for DEAC, a combined total of 3.02. That distribution gives DEAC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
DEAC win
67.8% probability
Expected goals
0.84 – 2.17
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Tiszafuredi VSE home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
DEAC away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates DEAC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 13% / 19% / 68% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.84 goals for Tiszafuredi VSE and 2.17 for DEAC, a combined 3.02 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
32%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
87%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–211.6%
- 0–110.6%
- 1–29.8%
- 1–19.0%
- 0–38.4%
Recent form
Tiszafuredi VSE
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Haladás VSE · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Tarpa · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Salgótarjáni BTC · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Cigand SE · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-23T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Sényő Carnifex · 1-0 (W)
DEAC
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Eger · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Salgótarjáni BTC · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Füzesabony · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Diósgyőr II · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hajdúnánás · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NB III - Northeast table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ózd Sajóvölgye | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 27 |
| 2 | Cigand SE | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 26 |
| 3 | DEAC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 23 |
| 4 | Kisvárda II | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 |
| 5 | Debrecen II | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 19 |
| 6 | Gödöllő | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | Eger | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 17 |
| 8 | Diósgyőr II | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Mátészalka | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 |
| 10 | Tiszaújváros | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 16 |
| 11 | Füzesabony | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Hajdúnánás | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 10 |
| 13 | Salgótarjáni BTC | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Tiszafuredi VSE | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -12 | 9 |
| 15 | Tarpa | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -17 | 6 |
| 16 | Nyiregyhaza II | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | -20 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is DEAC win, at 67.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.