Tiszafuredi VSE vs Nyiregyhaza II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.46 expected goals for Tiszafuredi VSE and 1.05 for Nyiregyhaza II, a combined total of 2.51. That distribution gives Tiszafuredi VSE the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Tiszafuredi VSE win

46.4% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.05

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Tiszafuredi VSE home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Nyiregyhaza II away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Tiszafuredi VSE to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 26% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.46 goals for Tiszafuredi VSE and 1.05 for Nyiregyhaza II, a combined 2.51 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Tiszafuredi VSE win46%

Draw26%

Nyiregyhaza II win27%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

54%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals72%

Over 2.5 goals46%

Over 3.5 goals25%

Both teams to score50%

Correct score

1–112.5%
1–011.8%
2–19.1%
2–08.6%
0–18.5%

Recent form

Tiszafuredi VSE

2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Haladás VSE · 0-4 (L)
2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Tarpa · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Salgótarjáni BTC · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Cigand SE · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-23T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Sényő Carnifex · 1-0 (W)

Nyiregyhaza II

2026-10-11T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Debrecen II · 0-4 (L)
2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Salgótarjáni BTC · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Tarpa · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Tiszafuredi VSE · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-06T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Cigand SE · 1-5 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

NB III - Northeast table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ózd Sajóvölgye	11	9	0	2	26	27
2	Cigand SE	11	8	2	1	16	26
3	DEAC	11	7	2	2	15	23
4	Kisvárda II	11	5	5	1	7	20
5	Debrecen II	11	6	1	4	8	19
6	Gödöllő	11	6	1	4	5	19
7	Eger	11	5	2	4	-9	17
8	Diósgyőr II	11	4	4	3	2	16
9	Mátészalka	11	4	4	3	2	16
10	Tiszaújváros	11	5	1	5	1	16
11	Füzesabony	11	5	1	5	-1	16
12	Hajdúnánás	11	3	1	7	-12	10
13	Salgótarjáni BTC	11	3	0	8	-11	9
14	Tiszafuredi VSE	11	3	0	8	-12	9
15	Tarpa	11	2	0	9	-17	6
16	Nyiregyhaza II	11	1	0	10	-20	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Tiszafuredi VSE win, at 46.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.

A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.