Tiszakecske FC vs Szentlőrinc SE Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Tiszakecske FC and 1.15 for Szentlőrinc SE, a combined total of 2.45. That distribution gives Tiszakecske FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

67.2% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.15

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Tiszakecske FC home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Szentlőrinc SE away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Tiszakecske FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 27% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.30 goals for Tiszakecske FC and 1.15 for Szentlőrinc SE, a combined 2.45 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Tiszakecske FC win40%

Draw27%

Szentlőrinc SE win33%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals70%

Over 2.5 goals44%

Over 3.5 goals23%

Both teams to score50%

Correct score

1–112.9%
1–011.2%
0–19.9%
0–08.6%
2–18.4%

Recent form

Tiszakecske FC

2026-09-20T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Soroksar · 3-3 (D)
2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Pécsi MFC · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-05T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Szentlőrinc SE · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Nagykanizsai ULE · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-22T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Diosgyori VTK · 4-1 (W)

Szentlőrinc SE

2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kozarmisleny FC · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Gyirmot SE · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-13T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Diosgyori VTK · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-10T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Fehérvár FC · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs BVSC · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

NB II table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Soroksar	11	7	3	1	14	24
2	Tiszakecske FC	11	6	5	0	9	23
3	Kecskeméti TE	11	7	2	2	9	23
4	Mezokovesd-zsory	11	6	2	3	9	20
5	Kazincbarcikai	11	5	5	1	6	20
6	Gyirmot SE	11	6	2	3	1	20
7	Ajka	11	5	3	3	2	18
8	Diosgyori VTK	11	4	3	4	-2	15
9	Szentlőrinc SE	11	4	2	5	-3	14
10	Fehérvár FC	11	4	0	7	1	12
11	BVSC	10	3	2	5	-1	11
12	Karcag SE	11	2	5	4	-5	11
13	Szeged 2011	10	2	4	4	-4	10
14	Nagykanizsai ULE	11	3	0	8	-8	9
15	Kozarmisleny FC	11	2	1	8	-11	7
16	Csakvar	11	1	1	9	-17	4

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.