· Analysis updated 10:27 UTC
Tiszakecske FC vs Zbrojovka Brno Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Tiszakecske FC and 1.41 for Zbrojovka Brno, a combined total of 3.31. That distribution gives Tiszakecske FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Tiszakecske FC win
49.1% probability
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.41
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Tiszakecske FC home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Zbrojovka Brno away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Tiszakecske FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 22% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.90 goals for Tiszakecske FC and 1.41 for Zbrojovka Brno, a combined 3.31 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.8%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–06.9%
- 1–26.9%
- 2–06.6%
Recent form
Tiszakecske FC
- 2026-09-20T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Soroksar · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Pécsi MFC · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Szentlőrinc SE · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Nagykanizsai ULE · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-22T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Diosgyori VTK · 4-1 (W)
Zbrojovka Brno
- 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Bohemians 1905 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovácko · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Jablonec · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Skalica · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mlada Boleslav · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Tiszakecske FC win, at 49.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.