Tiszaújváros vs Tiszafuredi VSE Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.49 expected goals for Tiszaújváros and 0.74 for Tiszafuredi VSE, a combined total of 2.22. That distribution gives Tiszaújváros the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 38% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Tiszaújváros win

55.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.49 – 0.74

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Tiszaújváros home form
6 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Tiszafuredi VSE away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 9 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Tiszaújváros win55%

Draw26%

Tiszafuredi VSE win19%

Double chance 1X

82%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

45%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals65%

Over 2.5 goals38%

Over 3.5 goals19%

Both teams to score40%

Correct score

1–016.1%
2–012.0%
1–111.9%
0–010.8%
2–18.8%

Recent form

Tiszaújváros

2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Gödöllő · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kisvárda II · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Karancslapujtő · 4-2 (W)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Debrecen II · 1-3 (L)
2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Nyiregyhaza II · 3-2 (W)

Tiszafuredi VSE

2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Mátészalka · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Gödöllő · 0-3 (L)
2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Kisvárda II · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Debrecen II · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Nyiregyhaza II · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · Tiszaújváros 1-0 Tiszafuredi VSE (NB III - Northeast)
2026-04-11T14:00:00.000Z · Tiszaújváros 0-5 Tiszafuredi VSE (NB III - Northeast)
2025-09-28T14:00:00.000Z · Tiszaújváros 0-6 Tiszafuredi VSE (NB III - Northeast)
2024-11-17T12:00:00.000Z · Tiszaújváros 0-1 Tiszafuredi VSE (NB III - Northeast)
2024-07-28T15:30:00.000Z · Tiszaújváros 0-2 Tiszafuredi VSE (NB III - Northeast)
2023-11-18T12:00:00.000Z · Tiszaújváros 1-1 Tiszafuredi VSE (NB III - Northeast)
2023-08-26T14:30:00.000Z · Tiszaújváros 2-1 Tiszafuredi VSE (Magyar Kupa)
2023-07-30T15:30:00.000Z · Tiszaújváros 2-2 Tiszafuredi VSE (NB III - Northeast)
2023-04-02T14:00:00.000Z · Tiszaújváros 1-1 Tiszafuredi VSE (NB III - Northeast)

NB III - Northeast table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ózd Sajóvölgye	13	11	0	2	31	33
2	Cigand SE	13	10	2	1	25	32
3	DEAC	13	8	2	3	14	26
4	Debrecen II	12	7	1	4	9	22
5	Gödöllő	13	7	1	5	8	22
6	Kisvárda II	12	5	6	1	7	21
7	Mátészalka	13	5	5	3	6	20
8	Diósgyőr II	13	5	4	4	3	19
9	Tiszaújváros	13	5	2	6	-3	17
10	Füzesabony	13	5	2	6	-3	17
11	Eger	13	5	2	6	-12	17
12	Salgótarjáni BTC	13	4	0	9	-11	12
13	Tiszafuredi VSE	12	3	1	8	-12	10
14	Hajdúnánás	12	3	1	8	-18	10
15	Tarpa	13	3	0	10	-20	9
16	Nyiregyhaza II	13	1	1	11	-24	4

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Tiszaújváros win, at 55.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 38%.

A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.