Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie A · Division A - 3008:30

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Saturday, 13 June 2026

DoubravkaWDLLW

· Analysis updated 10:46 UTC

TJ Přeštice vs Doubravka Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.76 expected goals for TJ Přeštice and 1.64 for Doubravka, a combined total of 3.40. That distribution gives TJ Přeštice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.9% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.76 – 1.64

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • TJ Přeštice home form

    3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Doubravka away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates TJ Přeštice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 23% / 36% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.76 goals for TJ Přeštice and 1.64 for Doubravka, a combined 3.40 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

TJ Přeštice win41%
Draw23%
Doubravka win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Both teams to score67%

Correct score

  • 1–19.6%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–27.9%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 1–05.9%

Recent form

TJ Přeštice

  • 2026-06-13T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Doubravka · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-06-07T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Milevsko · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-05-31T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Soběslav · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Jiskra Domažlice II · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-16T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Hluboka nad Vltavou · 0-1 (L)

Doubravka

  • 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Soběslav · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Hluboka nad Vltavou · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Jiskra Domažlice II · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Petřín Plzeň · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Hořovicko · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

4. liga - Divizie A table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Křimice128221126
2Petřín Plzeň12813825
3Spartak Pribram117311924
4Komárov116411122
5Hořovicko12633521
6Táborsko II11542819
7Hluboka nad Vltavou10541819
8Spartak Soběslav11533618
9Doubravka11425-114
10Slavoj Český Krumlov11416-613
11Rokycany11416-813
12Strakonice10217-147
13Jiskra Domažlice II11209-86
14Nyrsko11119-244
15Milevsko11029-152

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.