Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie A · Division A - 2208:30

2 – 4

Saturday, 18 April 2026

· Analysis updated 10:49 UTC

TJ Přeštice vs Slavoj Český Krumlov Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for TJ Přeštice and 1.83 for Slavoj Český Krumlov, a combined total of 3.83. That distribution gives TJ Přeštice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.83

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • TJ Přeštice home form

    3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Slavoj Český Krumlov away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates TJ Přeštice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 21% / 36% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.00 goals for TJ Přeštice and 1.83 for Slavoj Český Krumlov, a combined 3.83 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

TJ Přeštice win43%
Draw21%
Slavoj Český Krumlov win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Over 3.5 goals53%
Both teams to score73%

Correct score

  • 1–17.9%
  • 2–17.9%
  • 1–27.3%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 3–15.3%

Recent form

TJ Přeštice

  • 2026-06-13T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Doubravka · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-06-07T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Milevsko · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-05-31T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Soběslav · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Jiskra Domažlice II · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-16T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Hluboka nad Vltavou · 0-1 (L)

Slavoj Český Krumlov

  • 2026-09-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Strakonice · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Pribram · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Nyrsko · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Křimice · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Doubravka · 2-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

4. liga - Divizie A table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Křimice128221126
2Petřín Plzeň12813825
3Spartak Pribram117311924
4Komárov116411122
5Hořovicko12633521
6Táborsko II11542819
7Hluboka nad Vltavou10541819
8Spartak Soběslav11533618
9Doubravka11425-114
10Slavoj Český Krumlov11416-613
11Rokycany11416-813
12Strakonice10217-147
13Jiskra Domažlice II11209-86
14Nyrsko11119-244
15Milevsko11029-152

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.