· Analysis updated 06:55 UTC
TJ Slovan Kosecke Podhradie vs Trenčianske Stankovce Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for TJ Slovan Kosecke Podhradie and 2.25 for Trenčianske Stankovce, a combined total of 4.00. That distribution gives Trenčianske Stankovce the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Trenčianske Stankovce win
49.5% probability
Expected goals
1.75 – 2.25
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
TJ Slovan Kosecke Podhradie home form
7 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Trenčianske Stankovce away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Trenčianske Stankovce to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 30% / 20% / 50% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for TJ Slovan Kosecke Podhradie and 2.25 for Trenčianske Stankovce, a combined 4.00 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
70%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.1%
- 1–17.2%
- 2–27.1%
- 2–16.3%
- 1–36.1%
Recent form
TJ Slovan Kosecke Podhradie
- 2025-09-24T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Trenčianske Stankovce · 1-1 (D)
- 2025-08-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Kysucké Nové Mesto · 1-0 (W)
- 2025-07-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Nové Mesto nad Váhom · 5-2 (W)
Trenčianske Stankovce
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Trnava · 0-3 (L)
- 2025-11-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Bratislava · 1-6 (L)
- 2025-09-24T13:30:00.000Z · A vs TJ Slovan Kosecke Podhradie · 1-1 (D)
- 2025-08-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom · 3-1 (W)
- 2025-08-05T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Družstevník Opatová · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Trenčianske Stankovce win, at 49.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.