SportOase Eburons Dome · Analysis updated 09:57 UTC
Tongeren vs Eendracht Termien Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Tongeren and 2.23 for Eendracht Termien, a combined total of 3.98. That distribution gives Eendracht Termien the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Eendracht Termien win
49.0% probability
Expected goals
1.75 – 2.23
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Tongeren home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Eendracht Termien away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Eendracht Termien to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 31% / 20% / 49% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for Tongeren and 2.23 for Eendracht Termien, a combined 3.98 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.1%
- 1–17.3%
- 2–27.1%
- 2–16.4%
- 1–36.0%
Recent form
Tongeren
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hades · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Tempo Overijse · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Eendracht Termien · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Cappellen · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-29T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Bocholt · 2-2 (D)
Eendracht Termien
- 2026-10-16T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Wellen · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Rotselaar · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Wilrijk · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Cappellen · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sint-Truiden II · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second Amateur Division - VFV B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tempo Overijse | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 24 |
| 2 | De Kempen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Racing Mechelen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Royal Antwerp II | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Hades | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Eendracht Termien | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Bocholt | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Wilrijk | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Rupel Boom | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Nijlen | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 11 |
| 11 | Sint-Truiden II | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Rotselaar | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Wellen | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Diegem Sport | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Cappellen | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -13 | 6 |
| 16 | Tongeren | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Eendracht Termien win, at 49.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.