Italy · Campionato Primavera - 1 · Matchweek 3010:00
Torino U20WLDWL

4 – 1

Saturday, 14 March 2026

Stadio Valentino Mazzola · Analysis updated 17:46 UTC

Torino U20 vs Internazionale U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.88 expected goals for Torino U20 and 1.28 for Internazionale U20, a combined total of 3.15. That distribution gives Torino U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Torino U20 win

51.5% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.88 – 1.28

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Torino U20 home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Internazionale U20 away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Torino U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 23% / 26% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.88 goals for Torino U20 and 1.28 for Internazionale U20, a combined 3.15 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Torino U20 win52%
Draw23%
Internazionale U20 win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams to score61%

Correct score

  • 1–110.2%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–08.0%
  • 2–07.5%
  • 1–26.5%

Recent form

Torino U20

  • 2026-05-16T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Milan U20 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-10T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Lazio U20 · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sassuolo U20 · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-04-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Atalanta U20 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-04-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Genoa U20 · 2-4 (L)

Internazionale U20

  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Monza U20 · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Cagliari U20 · 6-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-04T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Bologna U20 · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Empoli U20 · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-23T14:45:00.000Z · A vs Genoa U20 · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Campionato Primavera - 1 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Internazionale U2074301015
2Parma U207430915
3Empoli U207430415
4Roma U207331312
5Bologna U207403012
6Genoa U207322311
7Lazio U207322211
8Lecce U207241210
9Milan U207313010
10Como U20723219
11Cesena U20723209
12Torino U207223-18
13Sassuolo U207223-28
14Cagliari U207223-68
15Fiorentina U20714207
16Hellas Verona U207214-27
17Juventus U207133-46
18Atalanta U207205-56
19Monza U207124-35
20Albinoleffe U207115-114

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Torino U20 win, at 51.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.

A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.