Stadio Valentino Mazzola · Analysis updated 08:34 UTC
Torino U20 vs Lazio U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.16 expected goals for Torino U20 and 2.02 for Lazio U20, a combined total of 4.18. That distribution gives Torino U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
62.8% probability
Expected goals
2.16 – 2.02
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Torino U20 home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Lazio U20 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Torino U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 20% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.16 goals for Torino U20 and 2.02 for Lazio U20, a combined 4.18 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–27.3%
- 2–17.2%
- 1–26.7%
- 1–16.7%
- 3–25.2%
Recent form
Torino U20
- 2026-05-16T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Milan U20 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-10T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Lazio U20 · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-05-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sassuolo U20 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-04-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Atalanta U20 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-04-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Genoa U20 · 2-4 (L)
Lazio U20
- 2026-09-19T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Juventus U20 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Cesena U20 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Parma U20 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-29T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Albinoleffe U20 · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-08-22T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Lecce U20 · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Campionato Primavera - 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internazionale U20 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Parma U20 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 15 |
| 3 | Bologna U20 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 4 | Empoli U20 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Roma U20 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Genoa U20 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Lazio U20 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Fiorentina U20 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Lecce U20 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Cesena U20 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Milan U20 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Como U20 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 |
| 13 | Torino U20 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Sassuolo U20 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Juventus U20 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Cagliari U20 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | Hellas Verona U20 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 | Atalanta U20 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Monza U20 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 | Albinoleffe U20 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 77% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.