Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dila Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Torpedo Kutaisi and 1.43 for Dila, a combined total of 2.90. That distribution gives Torpedo Kutaisi the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.43

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Torpedo Kutaisi home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dila away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Torpedo Kutaisi to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 25% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Torpedo Kutaisi and 1.43 for Dila, a combined 2.90 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Torpedo Kutaisi win39%

Draw25%

Dila win37%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%

Over 2.5 goals55%

Over 3.5 goals33%

Both teams to score59%

Correct score

1–111.6%
2–18.5%
1–28.2%
1–08.1%
0–17.8%

Recent form

Torpedo Kutaisi

2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Rustavi · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-10T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Spaeri · 3-3 (D)
2026-09-20T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Batumi · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-14T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Samgurali · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-10T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Gagra · 1-1 (D)

Dila

2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Rustavi · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-21T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Spaeri · 4-1 (W)
2026-09-17T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Iberia 1999 · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Batumi · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Samgurali · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Erovnuli Liga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dinamo Batumi	29	15	8	6	13	53
2	Rustavi	29	15	7	7	12	52
3	FC Iberia 1999	29	16	4	9	11	52
4	Dinamo Tbilisi	29	14	9	6	16	51
5	Dila	29	12	4	13	4	40
6	Samgurali	29	11	5	13	-9	38
7	Torpedo Kutaisi	29	9	10	10	8	37
8	Gagra	29	6	11	12	-17	29
9	Spaeri	29	5	11	13	-11	26
10	Meshakhte	29	2	11	16	-27	17

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.