Stadion Torpedo · Referee V. Shimusik · Analysis updated 07:44 UTC
Torpedo Zhodino vs Dinamo Brest Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.05 expected goals for Torpedo Zhodino and 1.53 for Dinamo Brest, a combined total of 2.58. That distribution gives Dinamo Brest the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Dinamo Brest win
48.2% probability
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.53
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Torpedo Zhodino home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Dinamo Brest away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
52%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
74%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.2%
- 0–111.6%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–28.9%
- 1–08.0%
Recent form
Torpedo Zhodino
- 2026-10-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Naftan · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-15T17:30:00.000Z · A vs ML Vitebsk · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-10T10:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Minsk · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Torpedo Moskva · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Vitebsk · 0-6 (L)
Dinamo Brest
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Dnepr Mogilev · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T17:10:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Minsk · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-07T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Bate Borisov · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T14:30:00.000Z · H vs ML Vitebsk · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Baranovichi · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-08T13:10:00.000Z · Torpedo Zhodino 0-1 Dinamo Brest (Premier League)
- 2026-04-03T16:00:00.000Z · Torpedo Zhodino 2-0 Dinamo Brest (Premier League)
- 2026-02-15T14:00:00.000Z · Torpedo Zhodino 0-1 Dinamo Brest (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2025-08-30T17:30:00.000Z · Torpedo Zhodino 2-0 Dinamo Brest (Premier League)
- 2025-04-21T17:00:00.000Z · Torpedo Zhodino 0-0 Dinamo Brest (Premier League)
- 2025-03-08T10:30:00.000Z · Torpedo Zhodino 1-0 Dinamo Brest (Coppa)
- 2025-03-02T10:00:00.000Z · Torpedo Zhodino 0-0 Dinamo Brest (Coppa)
- 2024-10-20T17:00:00.000Z · Torpedo Zhodino 3-1 Dinamo Brest (Premier League)
- 2024-05-24T18:00:00.000Z · Torpedo Zhodino 1-0 Dinamo Brest (Premier League)
- 2023-08-06T15:00:00.000Z · Torpedo Zhodino 1-2 Dinamo Brest (Premier League)
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ML Vitebsk | 25 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 34 | 56 |
| 2 | Dinamo Minsk | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 55 |
| 3 | FC Isloch Minsk R. | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 27 | 52 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 44 |
| 5 | Neman | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 43 |
| 6 | FC Vitebsk | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 40 |
| 7 | FC Gomel | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 40 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | Baranovichi | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | -16 | 28 |
| 12 | Belshina | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -18 | 24 |
| 13 | Arsenal | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -20 | 23 |
| 14 | Bate Borisov | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -14 | 21 |
| 15 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -16 | 19 |
| 16 | Naftan | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -38 | 17 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Dinamo Brest win, at 48.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.