· Analysis updated 06:04 UTC
Torpedo Zhodino vs Torpedo Moskva Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.70 expected goals for Torpedo Zhodino and 1.35 for Torpedo Moskva, a combined total of 2.05. That distribution gives Torpedo Moskva the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 34% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Torpedo Moskva win
52.4% probability
Expected goals
0.70 – 1.35
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Torpedo Zhodino home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Torpedo Moskva away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Torpedo Moskva to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 19% / 28% / 52% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.70 goals for Torpedo Zhodino and 1.35 for Torpedo Moskva, a combined 2.05 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
48%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
81%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–117.4%
- 0–012.9%
- 1–112.2%
- 0–211.7%
- 1–09.0%
Recent form
Torpedo Zhodino
- 2026-10-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavia Mozyr · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Naftan · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-15T17:30:00.000Z · A vs ML Vitebsk · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-10T10:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Minsk · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Torpedo Moskva · 1-2 (L)
Torpedo Moskva
- 2026-10-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rotor Volgograd · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-17T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Enisey · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Leningradets · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Torpedo Zhodino · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T09:30:00.000Z · A vs FC UFA · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Torpedo Moskva win, at 52.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 37% and over 2.5 goals at 34%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.