· Analysis updated 14:44 UTC
Træff vs hodd Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.28 expected goals for Træff and 1.26 for hodd, a combined total of 3.54. That distribution gives Træff the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Træff win
60.3% probability
Expected goals
2.28 – 1.26
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Træff home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
hodd away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Træff to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 20% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.28 goals for Træff and 1.26 for hodd, a combined 3.54 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
40%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.5%
- 1–18.4%
- 2–07.6%
- 3–17.2%
- 1–06.6%
Recent form
Træff
- 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vidar · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-22T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Rollon · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-08-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sotra · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Eik-Tønsberg · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs jerv · 3-2 (W)
hodd
- 2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Egersund · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs ODD Ballklubb · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Kongsvinger · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Træff · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Lyn · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Træff win, at 60.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.