Traiskirchen vs Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.65 expected goals for Traiskirchen and 3.10 for Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf, a combined total of 4.75. That distribution gives Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf win

66.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.65 – 3.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Traiskirchen home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 18% / 16% / 67% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.65 goals for Traiskirchen and 3.10 for Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf, a combined 4.75 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Traiskirchen win18%

Draw16%

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf win67%

Double chance 1X

34%

Double chance 12

85%

Double chance X2

82%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals95%

Over 2.5 goals85%

Over 3.5 goals69%

Both teams to score77%

Correct score

1–37.1%
1–26.9%
2–35.8%
2–25.7%
1–45.5%

Recent form

Traiskirchen

2026-10-09T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Oberwart · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Gloggnitz · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-25T17:30:00.000Z · A vs SV Horn · 4-3 (W)
2026-09-22T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Krems / Rehberg · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf · 1-3 (L)

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf

2026-10-02T17:10:00.000Z · A vs Favoritner AC · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Oberwart · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Traiskirchen · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs SV Horn · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Gloggnitz · 3-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Regionalliga - Ost table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf	11	8	1	2	20	25
2	Oberwart	11	7	1	3	8	22
3	Wiener SC	11	6	2	3	13	20
4	Scheiblingkirchen	11	5	4	2	0	19
5	Traiskirchen	11	5	3	3	3	18
6	Wiener Viktoria	11	5	2	4	5	17
7	Krems / Rehberg	11	5	2	4	3	17
8	Fach-Donaufeld	11	5	2	4	0	17
9	Parndorf	11	4	3	4	1	15
10	Leobendorf	11	4	2	5	-1	14
11	Mattersburg SV 2020	11	4	1	6	-5	13
12	Favoritner AC	11	4	1	6	-5	13
13	Donau	11	2	6	3	-3	12
14	Gloggnitz	11	3	3	5	-7	12
15	SV Horn	11	3	2	6	-2	11
16	Wienerberg	11	0	1	10	-30	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf win, at 66.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.

It puts both teams scoring at 77% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.