· Analysis updated 07:34 UTC
Tranent Juniors vs Turriff United Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Tranent Juniors and 1.10 for Turriff United, a combined total of 3.05. That distribution gives Tranent Juniors the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Tranent Juniors win
57.0% probability
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.10
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Tranent Juniors home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Turriff United away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Tranent Juniors to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 22% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.95 goals for Tranent Juniors and 1.10 for Turriff United, a combined 3.05 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
43%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–09.0%
- 3–16.4%
Recent form
Tranent Juniors
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Gala Fairydean Rovers · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Berwick Rangers · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Civil Service Strollers · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs East Stirlingshire · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Stirling University · 2-1 (W)
Turriff United
- 2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Wick Academy · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Nairn County · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Forres Mechanics · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-07T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Keith · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Tranent Juniors · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Tranent Juniors win, at 57.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.