Romania · Liga III - Serie 8 · Group 8 - 1212:00

12:00 UTC

Saturday, 7 November 2026

· Analysis updated 06:04 UTC

Transilvania Sport Academy vs Sănătatea Cluj Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.80 expected goals for Transilvania Sport Academy and 2.38 for Sănătatea Cluj, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Sănătatea Cluj the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Sănătatea Cluj win

72.4% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.80 – 2.38

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Transilvania Sport Academy home form

    1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Sănătatea Cluj away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Sănătatea Cluj to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 11% / 17% / 72% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.80 goals for Transilvania Sport Academy and 2.38 for Sănătatea Cluj, a combined 3.18 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Transilvania Sport Academy win11%
Draw17%
Sănătatea Cluj win72%

Double chance 1X

28%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

89%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams to score50%

Correct score

  • 0–211.8%
  • 0–19.9%
  • 1–29.4%
  • 0–39.3%
  • 1–17.9%

Recent form

Transilvania Sport Academy

  • 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sighetu Marmaţiei · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Unirea Tășnad · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Minaur Baia Mare · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Viitorul Cluj · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Unirea Dej · 0-0 (D)

Sănătatea Cluj

  • 2026-10-23T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Unirea Dej · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Academica Recea · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SCM Zalău · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Bihorul Beiuş · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sânmartin · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · Transilvania Sport Academy 0-5 Sănătatea Cluj (Liga III - Serie 8)

Liga III - Serie 8 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Minaur Baia Mare107212023
2Sănătatea Cluj105411019
3Crişul Sântandrei10613319
4Academica Recea10604418
5Sighetu Marmaţiei105231017
6SCM Zalău10442716
7Sânmartin10343-113
8Bihorul Beiuş10343-113
9Viitorul Cluj10334312
10Unirea Tășnad10235-139
11Unirea Dej10127-125
12Transilvania Sport Academy10019-301

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Sănătatea Cluj win, at 72.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.

A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.