Transinvest 2 vs Jonava Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.14 expected goals for Transinvest 2 and 1.72 for Jonava, a combined total of 2.86. That distribution gives Jonava the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Jonava win

51.1% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.14 – 1.72

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Transinvest 2 win25%

Draw24%

Jonava win51%

Double chance 1X

49%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

75%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%

Over 2.5 goals55%

Over 3.5 goals32%

Both teams to score56%

Correct score

1–111.2%
0–19.9%
1–29.7%
0–28.5%
1–06.5%

Why the model likes this

Transinvest 2 home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Jonava to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 25% / 24% / 51% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.14 goals for Transinvest 2 and 1.72 for Jonava, a combined 2.86 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 55% and both teams to score at 56%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Transinvest 2

2026-08-14T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Atmosfera · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs BFA · 2-4 (L)
2026-08-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Babrungas · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dainava · 1-3 (L)
2026-07-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Neptūną Klaipėda · 2-2 (D)

Jonava

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1 Lyga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Minija	20	17	1	2	42	52
2	Babrungas	20	16	3	1	30	51
3	Tauras	20	12	2	6	14	38
4	Neptūną Klaipėda	20	12	2	6	3	38
5	Dainava	19	10	5	4	14	35
6	Be1 NFA	19	11	2	6	7	35
7	BFA	20	10	2	8	0	32
8	Žalgiris II	20	9	4	7	3	31
9	Atmosfera	19	7	4	8	5	25
10	Jonava	20	6	5	9	-2	23
11	Garliava	19	6	4	9	3	22
12	Transinvest 2	20	5	3	12	-26	18
13	Hegelmann II	20	5	1	14	-24	16
14	Kauno Žalgiris II	20	4	1	15	-19	13
15	Ekranas	20	3	2	15	-23	11
16	FA Šiauliai II	20	2	5	13	-27	11

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.