Trapani 1905 vs Siracusa Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Trapani 1905 and 1.13 for Siracusa, a combined total of 2.53. That distribution gives Trapani 1905 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.40 – 1.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Trapani 1905 home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Siracusa away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Trapani 1905 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 27% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.40 goals for Trapani 1905 and 1.13 for Siracusa, a combined 2.53 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Trapani 1905 win43%

Draw27%

Siracusa win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals72%

Over 2.5 goals46%

Over 3.5 goals25%

Both teams to score51%

Correct score

1–112.6%
1–011.2%
0–19.0%
2–18.8%
0–08.0%

Recent form

Trapani 1905

2026-10-04T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Reggina · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ragusa · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Igea Virtus · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-16T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Nissa · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Calcio Avola · 0-1 (L)

Siracusa

2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Digiesse PraiaTortora · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-16T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Gela · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Vibonese · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs AC Palermo · 4-2 (W)
2026-04-26T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Trapani 1905 · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-04-26T16:00:00.000Z · Trapani 1905 2-2 Siracusa (Serie C - Girone C)
2025-12-21T19:30:00.000Z · Trapani 1905 0-3 Siracusa (Serie C - Girone C)
2024-04-07T18:30:00.000Z · Trapani 1905 1-0 Siracusa (Serie D - Girone I)
2023-11-26T13:30:00.000Z · Trapani 1905 0-0 Siracusa (Serie D - Girone I)

Serie C - Girone C table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Potenza	11	8	2	1	13	26
2	Bari	11	6	3	2	7	21
3	Sorrento	11	6	2	3	4	20
4	Audace Cerignola	10	5	2	3	9	17
5	Scafatese	10	4	5	1	3	17
6	Casertana	11	4	5	2	2	17
7	Catania	10	5	1	4	6	16
8	Cavese	10	4	3	3	3	15
9	SS Monopoli	10	4	3	3	2	15
10	Salernitana	10	3	5	2	2	14
11	Inter U23	10	4	2	4	1	14
12	AZ Picerno	10	4	0	6	-1	12
13	Team Altamura	11	3	3	5	-7	12
14	Barletta	11	2	5	4	-3	11
15	Foggia	10	3	2	5	-3	11
16	Savoia	11	2	5	4	-5	11
17	Casarano	10	3	2	5	-6	11
18	Giugliano	10	3	1	6	-8	10
19	Cosenza	11	1	3	7	-14	6
20	Crotone	10	1	4	5	-5	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.

A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.