Sweden · Elitettan · Regular Season - 1512:00
Trelleborg WDDDLW

12:00 UTC

Saturday, 22 August 2026

Göteborg WWWDDW

· Analysis updated 02:56 UTC

Trelleborg W vs Göteborg W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.43 expected goals for Trelleborg W and 2.23 for Göteborg W, a combined total of 3.65. That distribution gives Göteborg W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws roughly 44% of the time.

Model pick

Göteborg W to Win

55.6% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.43 – 2.23

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Trelleborg W win24%
Draw20%
Göteborg W win56%

Double chance 1X

44%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

76%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Over 3.5 goals50%
Both teams to score68%

Correct score

  • 1–29.2%
  • 1–18.2%
  • 1–36.8%
  • 2–26.5%
  • 0–26.4%

Why the model likes this

  • Trelleborg W home form

    11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Göteborg W away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Göteborg W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 24% / 20% / 56% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.43 goals for Trelleborg W and 2.23 for Göteborg W, a combined 3.65 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Trelleborg W

  • 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Gamla Upsala W · 4-4 (D)
  • 2026-08-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Lunds BK W · 6-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Elfsborg W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Linköping W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-06-21T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Göteborg W · 1-3 (L)

Göteborg W

  • 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandviken W · 6-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Uddevalla W · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs KIF Örebro W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Umeå W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Husqvarna W · 4-4 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Elitettan table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Elfsborg W1410402634
2Linköping W1410311533
3Göteborg W149412331
4KIF Örebro W1410131131
5Umeå W14635421
6Trelleborg W13634221
7Enskede W14536-218
8Örebro SK W14536-318
9Jitex W14536-418
10Husqvarna W14446-516
11Alingsås W14257-1011
12Gamla Upsala W13247-910
13Sandviken W141310-286
14Häcken II W140113-201

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.