Štadión Oddychové centrum · Analysis updated 16:30 UTC
Trenčianske Stankovce vs Jednota Bánová Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.04 expected goals for Trenčianske Stankovce and 1.18 for Jednota Bánová, a combined total of 3.22. That distribution gives Trenčianske Stankovce the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Trenčianske Stankovce win
57.3% probability
Expected goals
2.04 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Trenčianske Stankovce home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Jednota Bánová away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Trenčianske Stankovce to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 21% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.04 goals for Trenčianske Stankovce and 1.18 for Jednota Bánová, a combined 3.22 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
43%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.6%
- 2–08.3%
- 1–08.1%
- 3–16.7%
Recent form
Trenčianske Stankovce
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Trnava · 0-3 (L)
- 2025-11-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Bratislava · 1-6 (L)
- 2025-09-24T13:30:00.000Z · A vs TJ Slovan Kosecke Podhradie · 1-1 (D)
- 2025-08-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom · 3-1 (W)
- 2025-08-05T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Družstevník Opatová · 4-0 (W)
Jednota Bánová
- 2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs AS Trencin · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-05-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kysucké Nové Mesto · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-23T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Fomat Martin · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Fiľakovo · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-10T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Námestovo · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2023-08-02T15:00:00.000Z · Trenčianske Stankovce 3-0 Jednota Bánová (Cup)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Trenčianske Stankovce win, at 57.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.