· Analysis updated 10:12 UTC
Trenčianske Stankovce vs Slovan Bratislava Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Trenčianske Stankovce and 2.68 for Slovan Bratislava, a combined total of 4.68. That distribution gives Slovan Bratislava the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Slovan Bratislava win
52.8% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 2.68
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Trenčianske Stankovce home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Slovan Bratislava away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Slovan Bratislava to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 29% / 18% / 53% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Trenčianske Stankovce and 2.68 for Slovan Bratislava, a combined 4.68 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
47%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–26.7%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–36.0%
- 2–36.0%
- 1–15.0%
Recent form
Trenčianske Stankovce
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Trnava · 0-3 (L)
- 2025-11-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Bratislava · 1-6 (L)
- 2025-09-24T13:30:00.000Z · A vs TJ Slovan Kosecke Podhradie · 1-1 (D)
- 2025-08-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom · 3-1 (W)
- 2025-08-05T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Družstevník Opatová · 4-0 (W)
Slovan Bratislava
- 2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Banská Bystrica · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z · A vs AS Roma · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-10-17T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Trnava · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-14T19:00:00.000Z · H vs VfB Stuttgart · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Skalica · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2025-11-15T15:00:00.000Z · Trenčianske Stankovce 1-6 Slovan Bratislava (Cup)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Slovan Bratislava win, at 52.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 80% and over 2.5 goals at 84%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.