Trenčín II vs Slovan Duslo Šaľa Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.26 expected goals for Trenčín II and 1.07 for Slovan Duslo Šaľa, a combined total of 3.33. That distribution gives Trenčín II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Trenčín II win

64.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.26 – 1.07

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Trenčín II home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Slovan Duslo Šaľa away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Trenčín II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 64%, against 64% / 19% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.26 goals for Trenčín II and 1.07 for Slovan Duslo Šaľa, a combined 3.33 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Trenčín II win64%

Draw19%

Slovan Duslo Šaľa win17%

Double chance 1X

83%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

36%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%

Over 2.5 goals65%

Over 3.5 goals43%

Both teams to score59%

Correct score

2–19.8%
2–09.1%
1–18.6%
1–08.1%
3–17.4%

Recent form

Trenčín II

2026-10-04T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Nitra · 2-4 (L)
2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Nové Zámky · 5-2 (W)
2026-09-20T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Veľké Ludince · 5-1 (W)
2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Myjava · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-06T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Púchov · 0-3 (L)

Slovan Duslo Šaľa

2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Rača · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Nitra · 0-4 (L)
2026-09-20T08:30:00.000Z · A vs DAC II · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Prievidza · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Častkovce · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-08-09T08:30:00.000Z · Trenčín II 4-2 Slovan Duslo Šaľa (3. liga - West)
2026-05-17T08:30:00.000Z · Trenčín II 4-2 Slovan Duslo Šaľa (3. liga - West)
2025-10-18T12:30:00.000Z · Trenčín II 3-2 Slovan Duslo Šaľa (3. liga - West)

3. liga - West table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nitra	11	10	1	0	31	31
2	Dunajská Lužná	11	6	3	2	6	21
3	Púchov	11	5	4	2	11	19
4	Spartak Myjava	11	5	3	3	6	18
5	Beluša	11	4	5	2	6	17
6	Gabčíkovo	11	5	2	4	2	17
7	Baník Prievidza	11	5	1	5	1	16
8	Nové Zámky	11	4	3	4	-5	15
9	DAC II	11	4	2	5	3	14
10	Trenčín II	11	4	2	5	1	14
11	Komárno II	11	4	2	5	-9	14
12	MŠK Senec	11	4	0	7	-10	12
13	Častkovce	11	3	2	6	-7	11
14	Rača	11	2	4	5	-11	10
15	Veľké Ludince	11	2	3	6	-14	9
16	Slovan Duslo Šaľa	11	1	3	7	-11	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Trenčín II win, at 64.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.