· Analysis updated 16:39 UTC
Trenčín W vs Komárno W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 4.05 expected goals for Trenčín W and 1.15 for Komárno W, a combined total of 5.20. That distribution gives Trenčín W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 86%, with the draw at 8%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 4–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 86% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Trenčín W win
85.7% probability
Expected goals
4.05 – 1.15
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Trenčín W home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Komárno W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Trenčín W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 86%, against 86% / 8% / 6% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 4.05 goals for Trenčín W and 1.15 for Komárno W, a combined 5.20 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
94%
Double chance 12
92%
Double chance X2
14%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 4–17.1%
- 3–17.0%
- 4–06.2%
- 3–06.1%
- 5–15.8%
Recent form
Trenčín W
- 2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Petržalka W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-21T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Myjava W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Prešov W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:45:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Bratislava W · 0-8 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Z. Moravce-Vrable W · 1-2 (L)
Komárno W
- 2026-10-24T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Ružomberok W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Petržalka W · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Tatran Prešov W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Bratislava W · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Myjava W · 0-8 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
I Liga - Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Myjava W | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 30 |
| 2 | Slovan Bratislava W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 27 |
| 3 | Trenčín W | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Z. Moravce-Vrable W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 5 | Komárno W | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 14 |
| 6 | Tatran Prešov W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Spartak Trnava W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -14 | 13 |
| 8 | Ružomberok W | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -16 | 9 |
| 9 | Dukla Banská Bystrica W | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -28 | 4 |
| 10 | Petržalka W | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -36 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Trenčín W win, at 85.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.
A 86% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.