Slovakia · I Liga - Women · Regular Season - 513:30

13:30 UTC

Saturday, 12 September 2026

· Analysis updated 23:54 UTC

Trenčín W vs Spartak Trnava W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Trenčín W and 1.18 for Spartak Trnava W, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Trenčín W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Trenčín W or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Trenčín W win44%
Draw26%
Spartak Trnava W win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Trenčín W home form

    7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Trenčín W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Trenčín W and 1.18 for Spartak Trnava W, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Trenčín W

  • 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Petržalka W · 6-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-30T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Žilina W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-23T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Ružomberok W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Komárno W · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-09T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Trnava W · 0-0 (D)

Spartak Trnava W

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

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    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.