Zimbabwe · Premier Soccer League · Matchweek 2613:00

0 – 0

Saturday, 1 August 2026

HuntersWWWDL

Gibbo Stadium · Analysis updated 14:40 UTC

Triangle United vs Hunters Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.05 expected goals for Triangle United and 0.85 for Hunters, a combined total of 1.90. That distribution gives Triangle United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 32%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 30% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

71.1% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.05 – 0.85

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Triangle United home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Hunters away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Triangle United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 32% / 29% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.05 goals for Triangle United and 0.85 for Hunters, a combined 1.90 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Triangle United win40%
Draw32%
Hunters win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

68%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals57%
Over 2.5 goals30%
Over 3.5 goals13%
Both teams to score37%

Correct score

  • 1–015.7%
  • 0–015.0%
  • 1–113.3%
  • 0–112.7%
  • 2–08.2%

Recent form

Triangle United

  • 2026-10-07T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Dynamos · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Bulawayo Chiefs · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Highlanders · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-22T13:00:00.000Z · A vs TelOne · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hunters · 0-0 (D)

Hunters

  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Agama · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Manica Diamonds · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ngezi Platinum · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-22T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hardrock · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Triangle United · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · Triangle United 0-0 Hunters (Premier Soccer League)
  • 2026-04-25T13:00:00.000Z · Triangle United 0-1 Hunters (Premier Soccer League)

Premier Soccer League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Hardrock3120653566
2Scotland Mabvuku30171033461
3Ngezi Platinum31141341355
4Dynamos31121541751
5CAPS United31131261151
6Herentals3114611248
7MWOS31111281045
8Highlanders319166443
9Chicken Inn3011910-142
10Platinum318167-340
11Simba Bhora3191210039
12Hunters3171410-1035
13Kariba3161411-932
14Bulawayo Chiefs3171014-1231
15Agama317717-2128
16Triangle United315917-1724
17TelOne3141017-2322
18Manica Diamonds314918-3021

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 71.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 37% and over 2.5 goals at 30%.

A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.