· Analysis updated 04:57 UTC
Triesen vs Eschen / Mauren Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Triesen and 2.29 for Eschen / Mauren, a combined total of 4.24. That distribution gives Eschen / Mauren the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Eschen / Mauren win
46.5% probability
Expected goals
1.95 – 2.29
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Triesen home form
0 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Eschen / Mauren away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Eschen / Mauren to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 34% / 20% / 47% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.95 goals for Triesen and 2.29 for Eschen / Mauren, a combined 4.24 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
54%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
66%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.4%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–16.4%
- 2–16.3%
- 1–35.6%
Recent form
Triesen
- 2026-08-26T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Vaduz II · 0-8 (L)
- 2026-04-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Eschen / Mauren · 1-11 (L)
- 2025-10-29T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Vaduz III · 3-2 (W)
- 2025-09-18T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Ruggell II · 3-1 (W)
- 2024-09-17T18:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Vaduz · 0-13 (L)
Eschen / Mauren
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Widnau · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-10-07T17:45:00.000Z · A vs Freienbach · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Collina d'Oro · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Mendrisio · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Kosova · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Cup table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vaduz II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 |
| 2 | Balzers II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 |
| 3 | Ruggell II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 |
| 4 | Schaan II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 |
| 5 | Triesenberg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Triesen II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Schaan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 8 | Vaduz III | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Eschen / Mauren II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 10 | Ruggell III | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 11 | Eschen / Mauren III | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 12 | Balzers III | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 13 | Triesenberg II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 14 | Triesen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Eschen / Mauren win, at 46.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 77% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.