· Analysis updated 15:04 UTC
Trollhättan vs Mjallby AIF Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.14 expected goals for Trollhättan and 0.87 for Mjallby AIF, a combined total of 3.01. That distribution gives Trollhättan the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Trollhättan win
66.4% probability
Expected goals
2.14 – 0.87
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Trollhättan home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Mjallby AIF away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Trollhättan to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 66% / 19% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.14 goals for Trollhättan and 0.87 for Mjallby AIF, a combined 3.01 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
86%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
34%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–011.2%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.2%
- 3–08.0%
Recent form
Trollhättan
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hässleholms IF · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-17T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Skövde AIK · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Utsikten · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Eskilsminne · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Rosengård · 2-3 (L)
Mjallby AIF
- 2026-10-10T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Degerfors IF · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Trollhättan · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Gais · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs AIK Stockholm · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs BK Hacken · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Trollhättan win, at 66.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.