South-Africa · Super League Women · Regular season13:00

2 – 1

Saturday, 4 July 2026

· Analysis updated 10:53 UTC

Tshwane University W vs Ramatlaohle W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.69 expected goals for Tshwane University W and 1.06 for Ramatlaohle W, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Tshwane University W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Tshwane University W win

52.1% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.69 – 1.06

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Tshwane University W home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Tshwane University W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 24% / 24% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.69 goals for Tshwane University W and 1.06 for Ramatlaohle W, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 53%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Match result (1X2)

Tshwane University W win52%
Draw24%
Ramatlaohle W win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

48%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score53%

Correct score

  • 1–111.5%
  • 1–010.8%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 2–09.1%
  • 0–16.8%

Recent form

Tshwane University W

  • 2026-09-19T18:30:00.000Z · H vs First Touch W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs City Lads W · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs JVW FC W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs University of Fort Hare W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ezemvelo W · 3-0 (W)

Ramatlaohle W

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Super League Women table

    Full league page →

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Tshwane University W win, at 52.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.

    A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.