· Analysis updated 14:47 UTC
TSV 1880 Wasserburg vs Sturm Hauzenberg Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.83 expected goals for TSV 1880 Wasserburg and 0.42 for Sturm Hauzenberg, a combined total of 2.26. That distribution gives TSV 1880 Wasserburg the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 39% for over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 19%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
TSV 1880 Wasserburg win
72.0% probability
Expected goals
1.83 – 0.42
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sturm Hauzenberg away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates TSV 1880 Wasserburg to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 72% / 20% / 8% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.83 goals for TSV 1880 Wasserburg and 0.42 for Sturm Hauzenberg, a combined 2.26 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 39% and both teams to score at 29%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 19%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
92%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
28%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–019.2%
- 2–017.6%
- 3–010.8%
- 0–010.5%
- 1–18.1%
Recent form
TSV 1880 Wasserburg
Sturm Hauzenberg
- 2026-05-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs TSV 1880 Wasserburg · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-21T16:30:00.000Z · A vs TSV 1880 Wasserburg · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Heimstetten · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-08T17:30:00.000Z · H vs TuS Geretsried · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-04-30T17:30:00.000Z · A vs 1860 München II · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Relegation Round table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FSV Pfaffenhofen/Ilm | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | TSV 1880 Wasserburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Großbardorf | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Kottern | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Eintracht Münchberg | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 6 | Stadeln | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 7 | Seebach | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 8 | ATSV Erlangen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 9 | Coburg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 10 | Sturm Hauzenberg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is TSV 1880 Wasserburg win, at 72.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 29% and over 2.5 goals at 39%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.