· Analysis updated 07:48 UTC
Tunari vs Ştefăneşti Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.04 expected goals for Tunari and 0.95 for Ştefăneşti, a combined total of 2.99. That distribution gives Tunari the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Tunari win
62.7% probability
Expected goals
2.04 – 0.95
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Tunari home form
9 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Ştefăneşti away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Tunari to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 21% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.04 goals for Tunari and 0.95 for Ştefăneşti, a combined 2.99 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
37%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–010.5%
- 1–010.2%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.7%
- 3–07.1%
Recent form
Tunari
- 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Păuleşti · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Urban Titu · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Berca · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Plopeni · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Râmnicu Sărat · 2-1 (W)
Ştefăneşti
- 2026-09-19T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Metaloglobus · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T08:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Politehnica Timisoara · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Gloria Bistriţa · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-29T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Bihor Oradea · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-22T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Cetatea Suceava · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Tunari win, at 62.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.