Tunari Stadium · Analysis updated 18:30 UTC
Tunari vs Urban Titu Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.50 expected goals for Tunari and 1.50 for Urban Titu, a combined total of 4.00. That distribution gives Tunari the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Tunari win
59.4% probability
Expected goals
2.50 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Tunari home form
9 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Urban Titu away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 5 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
41%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.6%
- 3–17.2%
- 1–16.9%
- 2–26.4%
- 2–05.7%
Recent form
Tunari
- 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Păuleşti · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Urban Titu · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Berca · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Plopeni · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Râmnicu Sărat · 2-1 (W)
Urban Titu
- 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Pucioasa · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Voința Crevedia · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Blejoi · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Progresul Draganesti · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Viitorul Corbeanca · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2025-05-03T15:00:00.000Z · Tunari 4-0 Urban Titu (Liga III - Serie 5)
- 2025-04-11T14:00:00.000Z · Tunari 0-0 Urban Titu (Liga III - Serie 5)
- 2025-03-22T13:00:00.000Z · Tunari 3-2 Urban Titu (Liga III - Serie 5)
- 2024-11-15T12:00:00.000Z · Tunari 2-1 Urban Titu (Liga III - Serie 5)
- 2024-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · Tunari 1-0 Urban Titu (Liga III - Serie 5)
Liga III - Serie 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flacăra Moreni | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 28 |
| 2 | Tunari | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 | Blejoi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Berca | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Voința Crevedia | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Progresul Draganesti | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -7 | 13 |
| 7 | Pucioasa | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Urban Titu | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 9 | Râmnicu Sărat | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 12 |
| 10 | Plopeni | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 11 | Viitorul Corbeanca | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 12 | Păuleşti | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -14 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Tunari win, at 59.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.