Aspire Zone · Analysis updated 02:20 UTC
Tunisia U17 vs Fiji U17 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.70 expected goals for Tunisia U17 and 0.98 for Fiji U17, a combined total of 3.68. That distribution gives Tunisia U17 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 74%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 74% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Tunisia U17 win
73.7% probability
Expected goals
2.70 – 0.98
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Tunisia U17 home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Tunisia U17 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 74%, against 74% / 15% / 11% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.70 goals for Tunisia U17 and 0.98 for Fiji U17, a combined 3.68 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 71% and both teams to score at 58%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
89%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
26%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–09.2%
- 2–19.0%
- 3–08.3%
- 3–18.1%
- 1–06.8%
Recent form
Tunisia U17
- 2026-05-19T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Ethiopia U17 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-16T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Egypt U17 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-13T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Morocco U17 · 1-1 (D)
- 2025-11-15T15:45:00.000Z · A vs Austria U17 · 0-2 (L)
- 2025-11-09T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Belgium U17 · 0-2 (L)
Fiji U17
- 2025-11-09T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Argentina U17 · 0-7 (L)
- 2025-11-06T14:45:00.000Z · H vs Belgium U17 · 0-7 (L)
- 2025-11-03T15:45:00.000Z · A vs Tunisia U17 · 0-6 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
World Cup - U17 table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Tunisia U17 win, at 73.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 74% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.