Şəhər stadionu · Referee R. Jabarov · Analysis updated 07:29 UTC
Turan vs Sabah FA Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Turan and 1.50 for Sabah FA, a combined total of 2.60. That distribution gives Sabah FA the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Sabah FA win
46.4% probability
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Turan home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Sabah FA away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
54%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
72%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.3%
- 0–111.1%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–28.4%
- 1–08.2%
Recent form
Turan
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Zira · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Araz · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sumqayıt · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-30T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Kapaz · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-23T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Şamaxı FK · 0-0 (D)
Sabah FA
- 2026-10-20T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Borussia Dortmund · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Qabala · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-13T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-09T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Neftchi Baku · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-19T15:45:00.000Z · H vs Imisli FK · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-22T13:00:00.000Z · Turan 1-2 Sabah FA (Premyer Liqa)
- 2025-12-13T12:30:00.000Z · Turan 1-3 Sabah FA (Premyer Liqa)
- 2025-09-20T15:30:00.000Z · Turan 0-2 Sabah FA (Premyer Liqa)
- 2025-04-12T13:00:00.000Z · Turan 2-1 Sabah FA (Premyer Liqa)
- 2025-02-09T13:00:00.000Z · Turan 1-2 Sabah FA (Premyer Liqa)
- 2024-12-03T14:00:00.000Z · Turan 2-2 Sabah FA (Cup)
- 2024-11-24T13:00:00.000Z · Turan 1-1 Sabah FA (Premyer Liqa)
- 2024-09-15T16:30:00.000Z · Turan 2-2 Sabah FA (Premyer Liqa)
- 2024-04-06T12:00:00.000Z · Turan 2-0 Sabah FA (Premyer Liqa)
- 2024-02-03T13:30:00.000Z · Turan 1-1 Sabah FA (Premyer Liqa)
Premyer Liqa table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sabah FA win, at 46.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.