· Analysis updated 20:40 UTC
Turan vs Sabah FA Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.65 expected goals for Turan and 1.20 for Sabah FA, a combined total of 1.85. That distribution gives Sabah FA the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 28% for over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 19%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Sabah FA win
49.3% probability
Expected goals
0.65 – 1.20
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Turan home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Sabah FA away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
69%
Double chance X2
80%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–118.9%
- 0–015.7%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–211.3%
- 1–010.2%
Recent form
Turan
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Zira · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Araz · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sumqayıt · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-30T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Kapaz · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-23T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Şamaxı FK · 0-0 (D)
Sabah FA
- 2026-10-09T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Neftchi Baku · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-19T15:45:00.000Z · H vs Imisli FK · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-14T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Safa Baku · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-10T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Manchester United · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Zira · 5-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-22T13:00:00.000Z · Turan 1-2 Sabah FA (Premyer Liqa)
- 2025-12-13T12:30:00.000Z · Turan 1-3 Sabah FA (Premyer Liqa)
- 2025-09-20T15:30:00.000Z · Turan 0-2 Sabah FA (Premyer Liqa)
- 2025-04-12T13:00:00.000Z · Turan 2-1 Sabah FA (Premyer Liqa)
- 2025-02-09T13:00:00.000Z · Turan 1-2 Sabah FA (Premyer Liqa)
- 2024-12-03T14:00:00.000Z · Turan 2-2 Sabah FA (Cup)
- 2024-11-24T13:00:00.000Z · Turan 1-1 Sabah FA (Premyer Liqa)
- 2024-09-15T16:30:00.000Z · Turan 2-2 Sabah FA (Premyer Liqa)
- 2024-04-06T12:00:00.000Z · Turan 2-0 Sabah FA (Premyer Liqa)
- 2024-02-03T13:30:00.000Z · Turan 1-1 Sabah FA (Premyer Liqa)
Premyer Liqa table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sabah FA win, at 49.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 33% and over 2.5 goals at 28%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.