Sportpark Aschheim · Analysis updated 11:31 UTC
Turbine Potsdam W vs Bayern München II W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.20 expected goals for Turbine Potsdam W and 1.03 for Bayern München II W, a combined total of 3.23. That distribution gives Turbine Potsdam W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Turbine Potsdam W win
64.0% probability
Expected goals
2.20 – 1.03
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Turbine Potsdam W home form
2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Turbine Potsdam W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 64%, against 64% / 20% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.20 goals for Turbine Potsdam W and 1.03 for Bayern München II W, a combined 3.23 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 63% and both teams to score at 57%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
36%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.6%
- 1–19.0%
- 1–08.7%
- 3–17.2%
Recent form
Turbine Potsdam W
- 2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Meppen W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Bochum W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Frankfurt II W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgart W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hoffenheim II W · 0-4 (L)
Bayern München II W
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Frauen Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoria Berlin W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | SGS Essen W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 23 |
| 3 | Hertha Berlin W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Bochum W | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 20 |
| 5 | Meppen W | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Ingolstadt W | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Carl Zeiss Jena W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Borussia Monchengladbach W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Andernach W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 13 |
| 10 | SC Sand W | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt II W | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 10 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim II W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 5 |
| 13 | Turbine Potsdam W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 5 |
| 14 | FC Koln II W | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Turbine Potsdam W win, at 64.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.