Germany · 2. Frauen Bundesliga · Matchweek 812:00

0 – 0

Sunday, 4 October 2026

Karl-Liebknecht-Stadion · Analysis updated 22:56 UTC

Turbine Potsdam W vs Eintracht Frankfurt II W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.22 expected goals for Turbine Potsdam W and 1.08 for Eintracht Frankfurt II W, a combined total of 2.31. That distribution gives Turbine Potsdam W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 41% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

67.6% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.22 – 1.08

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Turbine Potsdam W home form

    3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Eintracht Frankfurt II W away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Turbine Potsdam W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 28% / 32% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.22 goals for Turbine Potsdam W and 1.08 for Eintracht Frankfurt II W, a combined 2.31 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Turbine Potsdam W win39%
Draw28%
Eintracht Frankfurt II W win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals67%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Over 3.5 goals20%
Both teams to score47%

Correct score

  • 1–113.2%
  • 1–012.2%
  • 0–110.8%
  • 0–09.9%
  • 2–18.1%

Recent form

Turbine Potsdam W

  • 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SGS Essen W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Carl Zeiss Jena W · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha Berlin W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FSV Babelsberg W · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia Monchengladbach W · 1-4 (L)

Eintracht Frankfurt II W

  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia Monchengladbach W · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Turbine Potsdam W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha Berlin W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Andernach W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Carl Zeiss Jena W · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

2. Frauen Bundesliga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viktoria Berlin W109011227
2SGS Essen W107212123
3Hertha Berlin W10721723
4Bochum W106221420
5Meppen W10442716
6Ingolstadt W10433315
7Carl Zeiss Jena W10415113
8Borussia Monchengladbach W10415-113
9Andernach W10415-913
10SC Sand W10334-312
11Eintracht Frankfurt II W10316-1210
12Hoffenheim II W10127-105
13Turbine Potsdam W10127-155
14FC Koln II W10028-152

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 41%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.