· Analysis updated 09:32 UTC
Türkspor Neckarsulm vs Normannia Gmünd Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.05 expected goals for Türkspor Neckarsulm and 1.65 for Normannia Gmünd, a combined total of 3.70. That distribution gives Türkspor Neckarsulm the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Türkspor Neckarsulm win
47.4% probability
Expected goals
2.05 – 1.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Türkspor Neckarsulm home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Normannia Gmünd away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Türkspor Neckarsulm to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 21% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.05 goals for Türkspor Neckarsulm and 1.65 for Normannia Gmünd, a combined 3.70 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
53%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.6%
- 1–18.4%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–26.9%
- 3–15.9%
Recent form
Türkspor Neckarsulm
- 2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Normannia Gmünd · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Reutlingen · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC 08 Villingen · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Nöttingen · 0-10 (L)
- 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Teningen · 1-2 (L)
Normannia Gmünd
- 2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Türkspor Neckarsulm · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Essingen · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Young Boys Reutlingen · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs TSV Singen · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Bahlinger SC · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oberachern | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Backnang | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 28 |
| 3 | FC 08 Villingen | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 26 |
| 4 | Reutlingen | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 26 |
| 5 | Bahlinger SC | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Young Boys Reutlingen | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 22 |
| 7 | FV Ravensburg | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 |
| 8 | Karlsruhe II | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | 1. FC Muhlhausen | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | CFR Pforzheim | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 | FC Holzhausen | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Essingen | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 | TSV Singen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 14 |
| 14 | Balingen | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Teningen | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 | FC Nöttingen | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 12 |
| 17 | Türkspor Neckarsulm | 13 | 3 | 0 | 10 | -22 | 9 |
| 18 | Normannia Gmünd | 13 | 2 | 0 | 11 | -23 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Türkspor Neckarsulm win, at 47.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.