· Analysis updated 09:05 UTC
TuS BW Königsdorf vs Lindenthal-Hohenlind Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.89 expected goals for TuS BW Königsdorf and 3.29 for Lindenthal-Hohenlind, a combined total of 5.19. That distribution gives Lindenthal-Hohenlind the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 88% for over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Lindenthal-Hohenlind win
64.9% probability
Expected goals
1.89 – 3.29
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
TuS BW Königsdorf home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Lindenthal-Hohenlind to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 20% / 15% / 65% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.89 goals for TuS BW Königsdorf and 3.29 for Lindenthal-Hohenlind, a combined 5.19 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 88% and both teams to score at 81%, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
35%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
80%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–36.3%
- 2–36.0%
- 1–25.7%
- 2–25.4%
- 1–45.2%
Recent form
TuS BW Königsdorf
- 2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Hennef 05 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-11T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Wegberg-Beeck · 1-7 (L)
- 2026-09-06T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Hohkeppel · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-08-30T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Bornheim · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-06-07T13:30:00.000Z · A vs VfL Vichttal · 2-0 (W)
Lindenthal-Hohenlind
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Mittelrhein table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wegberg-Beeck | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | SSV Merten | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 19 |
| 3 | Eintracht Hohkeppel | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Frechen | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Düren Merzenich | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Lindenthal-Hohenlind | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | Fortuna Köln II | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | VfL Vichttal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 |
| 9 | Bornheim | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Siegburger SV | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Hürth | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | Chlodwig Zulpich | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Hennef 05 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 | TuS BW Königsdorf | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -23 | 6 |
| 15 | Porz | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 5 |
| 16 | Neunkirchen-Seelscheid | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Lindenthal-Hohenlind win, at 64.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 81% and over 2.5 goals at 88%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.