· Analysis updated 08:48 UTC
Twente W vs Feyenoord W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.05 expected goals for Twente W and 1.25 for Feyenoord W, a combined total of 4.30. That distribution gives Twente W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 73%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 73% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Twente W win
73.3% probability
Expected goals
3.05 – 1.25
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Twente W home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Feyenoord W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
88%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
27%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–18.0%
- 2–17.9%
- 3–06.4%
- 2–06.3%
- 4–16.1%
Recent form
Twente W
- 2026-10-04T10:15:00.000Z · H vs Utrecht W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T10:15:00.000Z · A vs AZ W · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs PSV/Eindhoven W · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T10:15:00.000Z · H vs Feyenoord W · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T14:45:00.000Z · H vs Heerenveen W · 5-1 (W)
Feyenoord W
- 2026-10-04T14:45:00.000Z · H vs Ajax W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-30T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vålerenga W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs PEC Zwolle W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-23T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Vålerenga W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Utrecht W · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-13T10:15:00.000Z · Twente W 4-0 Feyenoord W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2026-03-11T17:45:00.000Z · Twente W 0-2 Feyenoord W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2025-11-16T15:45:00.000Z · Twente W 3-2 Feyenoord W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2025-03-08T13:00:00.000Z · Twente W 4-1 Feyenoord W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2024-11-24T11:15:00.000Z · Twente W 3-2 Feyenoord W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2024-01-27T15:30:00.000Z · Twente W 3-0 Feyenoord W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2023-10-01T10:15:00.000Z · Twente W 3-1 Feyenoord W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2023-05-07T12:30:00.000Z · Twente W 2-1 Feyenoord W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2022-12-02T18:30:00.000Z · Twente W 1-0 Feyenoord W (Eredivisie Women)
- 2022-03-13T11:15:00.000Z · Twente W 6-0 Feyenoord W (Eredivisie Women)
Eredivisie Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Twente W | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 18 |
| 2 | Ajax W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | AZ W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 12 |
| 4 | PSV/Eindhoven W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Heerenveen W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 6 | ADO Den Haag W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -10 | 7 |
| 7 | PEC Zwolle W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 8 | De Graafschap W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 9 | Feyenoord W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 10 | Utrecht W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Twente W win, at 73.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.
A 73% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.