Tychy 71 vs Górnik Łęczna Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.98 expected goals for Tychy 71 and 1.08 for Górnik Łęczna, a combined total of 2.05. That distribution gives Górnik Łęczna the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 34% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

67.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.98 – 1.08

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Tychy 71 home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Górnik Łęczna away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Górnik Łęczna to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 32% / 30% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.98 goals for Tychy 71 and 1.08 for Górnik Łęczna, a combined 2.05 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Tychy 71 win32%

Draw30%

Górnik Łęczna win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

68%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals61%

Over 2.5 goals34%

Over 3.5 goals15%

Both teams to score41%

Correct score

0–113.8%
1–113.5%
0–012.9%
1–012.6%
0–27.4%

Recent form

Tychy 71

2026-08-23T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Śląsk Wrocław II · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Resovia Rzeszów · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-09T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Olimpia Grudziądz · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-05T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-31T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Stal Stalowa Wola · 2-1 (W)

Górnik Łęczna

2026-10-17T12:15:00.000Z · H vs Stal Stalowa Wola · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-11T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Tychy 71 · 0-3 (L)
2026-10-04T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Chojniczanka Chojnice · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Widzew Łódź · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

II Liga - East table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	12	9	2	1	13	29
2	Tychy 71	12	7	5	0	12	26
3	Górnik Łęczna	12	6	2	4	7	20
4	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	12	5	4	3	4	19
5	Podhale Nowy Targ	12	5	4	3	2	19
6	Olimpia Grudziądz	12	5	4	3	-2	19
7	Hutnik Kraków	12	5	3	4	3	18
8	Chojniczanka Chojnice	12	5	3	4	1	18
9	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	12	5	2	5	3	17
10	Avia Świdnik	12	5	2	5	-2	17
11	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	12	4	4	4	2	16
12	Lechia Zielona Góra	12	4	4	4	2	16
13	Stal Stalowa Wola	12	5	1	6	-3	16
14	Legia Warszawa II	12	4	1	7	2	13
15	Śląsk Wrocław II	12	3	1	8	-4	10
16	Sokół Kleczew	12	1	6	5	-13	9
17	Świt Skolwin	12	2	3	7	-14	9
18	Resovia Rzeszów	12	0	5	7	-13	5

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 34%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.