Geolog Stadium · Analysis updated 15:56 UTC
Tyumen vs Zenit 2 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.70 expected goals for Tyumen and 1.90 for Zenit 2, a combined total of 3.60. That distribution gives Zenit 2 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
64.9% probability
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.90
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Tyumen home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Zenit 2 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Zenit 2 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 35% / 22% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.70 goals for Tyumen and 1.90 for Zenit 2, a combined 3.60 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
65%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.8%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–17.5%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–35.3%
Recent form
Tyumen
- 2026-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Zenit 2 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-16T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Torpedo Miass · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-08-12T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Volna Nizhegorodskaya · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Stavropol · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Amkar · 0-2 (L)
Zenit 2
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Stavropol · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Amkar · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tyumen · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Irtysh Omsk · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Moskva II · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second League A - Division A Silver table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 26 |
| 2 | Amkar | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Tyumen | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Torpedo Miass | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 | Dinamo Stavropol | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 6 | Irtysh Omsk | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 7 |
| 7 | Dinamo Moskva II | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -21 | 7 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.