Kamratgarden · Analysis updated 19:25 UTC
Uddevalla W vs Göteborg W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.34 expected goals for Uddevalla W and 2.14 for Göteborg W, a combined total of 3.48. That distribution gives Göteborg W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Göteborg W win
55.6% probability
Expected goals
1.34 – 2.14
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Uddevalla W home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Göteborg W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Göteborg W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 24% / 21% / 56% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.34 goals for Uddevalla W and 2.14 for Göteborg W, a combined 3.48 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
44%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
76%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.4%
- 1–18.8%
- 0–27.0%
- 1–36.7%
- 0–16.6%
Recent form
Uddevalla W
- 2026-08-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Göteborg W · 0-5 (L)
- 2025-11-05T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Häcken W · 0-10 (L)
- 2025-08-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Trollhättans W · 1-0 (W)
- 2023-11-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Eskilstuna United W · 3-4 (L)
- 2023-11-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mallbacken W · 1-2 (L)
Göteborg W
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Elfsborg W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs KIF Örebro W · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Jitex W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-09T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Häcken W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Husqvarna W · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-11T17:00:00.000Z · Uddevalla W 0-5 Göteborg W (Svenska Cupen - Women)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Göteborg W win, at 55.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.