Udinese U19 vs Sudtirol U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Udinese U19 and 1.33 for Sudtirol U19, a combined total of 3.33. That distribution gives Udinese U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Udinese U19 win

53.1% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.33

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Udinese U19 home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Sudtirol U19 away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Udinese U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 22% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Udinese U19 and 1.33 for Sudtirol U19, a combined 3.33 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Udinese U19 win53%

Draw22%

Sudtirol U19 win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

47%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%

Over 2.5 goals65%

Over 3.5 goals43%

Both teams to score64%

Correct score

1–19.5%
2–19.5%
1–07.2%
2–07.2%
3–16.4%

Recent form

Udinese U19

2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Mantova U19 · 6-0 (W)
2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Venezia U19 · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-10T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Cremonese U19 · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Renate U19 · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Cittadella U19 · 3-2 (W)

Sudtirol U19

2026-10-10T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Virtus Entella U19 · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-26T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Ascoli U19 · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Reggiana U19 · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Mantova U19 · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Vicenza U19 · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Campionato Primavera - 2 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Renate U19	6	4	2	0	7	14
1	Catanzaro U19	6	6	0	0	13	18
2	Sampdoria U19	6	3	3	0	10	12
2	Perugia U19	6	5	0	1	15	15
3	Vicenza U19	6	3	3	0	7	12
3	Palermo U19	6	4	2	0	5	14
4	Cremonese U19	6	4	0	2	5	12
4	Benevento U19	6	4	1	1	12	13
5	Venezia U19	6	3	1	2	2	10
5	Monopoli U19	6	3	2	1	5	11
6	Udinese U19	6	3	0	3	1	9
6	Pescara U19	6	3	2	1	4	11
7	Padova U19	6	3	0	3	-1	9
7	Bari U19	6	2	3	1	4	9
8	Virtus Entella U19	6	2	2	2	2	8
8	Avellino U19	6	3	0	3	0	9
9	Lecco U19	6	2	2	2	-4	8
9	Latina U19	6	2	2	2	3	8
10	Cittadella U19	6	2	1	3	-3	7
10	Napoli U19	6	2	2	2	0	8
11	Brescia U19	6	2	1	3	-5	7
11	Pisa U19	6	2	0	4	-2	6
12	Mantova U19	6	1	3	2	-4	6
12	Spezia U19	6	1	1	4	-6	4
13	Modena U19	6	1	2	3	-1	5
13	Frosinone U19	6	1	1	4	-14	4
14	Pro Vercelli U19	6	1	2	3	-5	5
14	Ascoli U19	6	0	2	4	-9	2
15	Sudtirol U19	6	0	4	2	-4	4
15	Cosenza U19	6	0	1	5	-13	1
16	Reggiana U19	6	0	2	4	-7	2
16	Salernitana U19	6	0	1	5	-17	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Udinese U19 win, at 53.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.

A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.