Udinese vs Barcelona Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Udinese and 2.13 for Barcelona, a combined total of 3.52. That distribution gives Barcelona the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws roughly 46% of the time.

Model pick

Barcelona to Win

54.1% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.40 – 2.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Udinese win25%

Draw21%

Barcelona win54%

Double chance 1X

46%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

75%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals68%

Over 3.5 goals47%

Both teams to score66%

Correct score

1–29.3%
1–18.8%
0–26.6%
1–36.6%
2–26.5%

Why the model likes this

Udinese home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Barcelona to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 25% / 21% / 54% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.40 goals for Udinese and 2.13 for Barcelona, a combined 3.52 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 68% and both teams to score at 66%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Udinese

2026-08-15T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Padova · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-08T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Barcelona · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-08T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Nottingham Forest · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-02T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Trabzonspor · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FSV Mainz 05 · 3-3 (D)

Barcelona

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.