Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli · Analysis updated 07:06 UTC
Udinese vs Juventus Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for Udinese and 1.14 for Juventus, a combined total of 2.34. That distribution gives Udinese the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws roughly 63% of the time.
Model pick
Udinese or Draw
65.5% probability
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.14
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.2%
- 1–011.5%
- 0–110.9%
- 0–09.6%
- 2–17.9%
Why the model likes this
Udinese home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Juventus away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Udinese to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 28% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.20 goals for Udinese and 1.14 for Juventus, a combined 2.34 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Recent form
Udinese
- 2026-08-15T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Padova · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Barcelona · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Nottingham Forest · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-02T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Trabzonspor · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FSV Mainz 05 · 3-3 (D)
Juventus
- 2026-08-11T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Palermo · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Inter · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-05T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Chelsea · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Nice · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Standard Liege · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Serie A table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.